20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KLACNASDAQKLA Corporation | 2010-03-242010-04-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.48% |
| 2 | BLKNYSEBlackRock, Inc. | 2024-09-232024-10-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.27% |
| 3 | CMCSANASDAQComcast Corp | 2017-03-282017-04-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.21% |
| 4 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2012-12-112013-01-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.12% |
| 5 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2014-10-302014-11-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.28% |
| 6 | LENNYSELennar Corporation | 2010-01-222010-02-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.20% |
| 7 | REGNNASDAQRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 2014-09-292014-10-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.18% |
| 8 | LOWNYSELowe's Companies Inc. | 2021-06-022021-06-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.87% |
| 9 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2024-09-192024-10-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.70% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 56% of the time with a median move of -1.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.