20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MONYSEAltria Group, Inc. | 2013-02-282013-03-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.18% |
| 2 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2026-03-122026-04-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.03% |
| 3 | ETRNYSEEntergy Corporation | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.49% |
| 4 | PHNYSEParker-Hannifin Corporation | 2026-03-122026-04-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.64% |
| 5 | AMATNASDAQApplied Materials, Inc. | 2026-03-122026-04-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.99% |
| 6 | TERNASDAQTeradyne, Inc. | 2026-03-122026-04-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.47% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.