20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HCANYSEHCA Healthcare Inc. | 2021-09-222021-10-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.93% |
| 2 | GOOGLNASDAQAlphabet Inc. | 2016-04-142016-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.20% |
| 3 | REGNNASDAQRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 2019-04-292019-05-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.75% |
| 4 | LRCXNASDAQLam Research Corporation | 2007-05-022007-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.31% |
| 5 | VRSKNASDAQVerisk Analytics Inc. | 2025-07-222025-08-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.52% |
| 6 | FFIVNASDAQF5 Inc. | 2017-09-252017-10-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.42% |
| 7 | HPENYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 2023-12-292024-01-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.29% |
| 8 | GENYSEGeneral Electric Company | 2024-10-142024-11-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.26% |
| 9 | FSLRNASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. | 2016-07-272016-08-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.14% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.