20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
13 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VRTNYSEVertiv Holdings Co | 2021-10-122021-11-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.25% |
| 2 | STZNYSEConstellation Brands, Inc. | 2012-07-302012-08-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.67% |
| 3 | MRKNYSEMerck & Co., Inc. | 2013-02-012013-03-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.80% |
| 4 | AONNYSEAon plc | 2013-02-012013-03-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.12% |
| 5 | LENNYSELennar Corporation | 2024-01-232024-02-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.91% |
| 6 | IBMNYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation | 2009-03-062009-04-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.87% |
| 7 | TRVNYSEThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | 2011-01-062011-02-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.11% |
| 8 | CORNYSECencora, Inc. | 2023-11-142023-12-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.01% |
| 9 | APTVNYSEAptiv PLC | 2013-12-192014-01-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -4.96% |
| 10 | EGNYSEEverest Group, Ltd. | 2012-12-132013-01-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.19% |
| 11 | FFIVNASDAQF5 Inc. | 2022-10-262022-11-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.59% |
| 12 | LMTNYSELockheed Martin Corporation | 2013-04-172013-05-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.01% |
| 13 | CPRTNASDAQCopart Inc. | 2020-03-202020-04-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +2.40% |
Showing 1-13 of 13 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew
Similar setups appeared 13 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 54% of the time with a median move of +0.7%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.0%.