20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PPGNYSEPPG Industries Inc. | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.60% |
| 2 | AFLNYSEAflac Inc. | 2016-04-132016-05-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.48% |
| 3 | CBRENYSECBRE Group Inc. | 2019-03-292019-04-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.12% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.