20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANETNYSEArista Networks, Inc. | 2023-05-122023-06-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.91% |
| 2 | UHSNYSEUniversal Health Services, Inc. | 2012-12-052013-01-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.42% |
| 3 | KMINYSEKinder Morgan, Inc. | 2016-08-232016-09-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.23% |
| 4 | GENYSEGeneral Electric Company | 2014-05-232014-06-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | -2.00% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -1.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.