20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AWKNYSEAmerican Water Works Company, Inc. | 2009-05-012009-05-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.87% |
| 2 | PGNYSEProcter & Gamble Co | 2025-09-222025-10-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.42% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +1.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +0.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.