20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2018-10-252018-11-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +0.27% |
| 2 | JPMNYSEJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2010-10-222010-11-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -5.45% |
| 3 | ELVNYSEElevance Health, Inc. | 2016-02-262016-03-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | +1.34% |
| 4 | USBNYSEU.S. Bancorp | 2014-09-052014-10-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -1.72% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.