20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FICONYSEFair Isaac Corporation | 2021-12-102022-01-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.82% |
| 2 | MNSTNASDAQMonster Beverage Corporation | 2012-03-152012-04-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.93% |
| 3 | BMYNYSEBristol-Myers Squibb Company | 2013-01-072013-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.12% |
| 4 | COPNYSEConocoPhillips | 2019-12-122020-01-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.53% |
| 5 | NEENYSENextEra Energy, Inc. | 2013-04-112013-05-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.27% |
| 6 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2024-06-272024-07-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.84% |
| 7 | COPNYSEConocoPhillips | 2013-01-072013-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.76% |
| 8 | MRSHNYSEMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | 2017-07-032017-07-31 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.04% |
| 9 | CIENNYSECiena Corporation | 2009-10-292009-11-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.89% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 56% of the time with a median move of -0.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.