20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NKENYSENike, Inc. - Class B | 2018-01-162018-02-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.29% |
| 2 | CAGNYSEConagra Brands Inc. | 2026-01-272026-02-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.73% |
| 3 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2023-06-222023-07-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | +0.90% |
| 4 | PEPNASDAQPepsiCo, Inc. | 2019-05-072019-06-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +4.70% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.