20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2014-12-102015-01-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -6.19% |
| 2 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2019-03-222019-04-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.22% |
| 3 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2010-06-252010-07-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.07% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.