20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EBAYNASDAQeBay Inc. | 2008-05-072008-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.26% |
| 2 | NTRSNASDAQNorthern Trust Corporation | 2019-04-172019-05-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.93% |
| 3 | BLKNYSEBlackRock, Inc. | 2015-05-112015-06-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.52% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.