20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2011-03-022011-03-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.21% |
| 2 | UPSNYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | 2022-12-062023-01-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.89% |
| 3 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2020-11-302020-12-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.42% |
| 4 | DHINYSED.R. Horton, Inc. | 2011-05-242011-06-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.25% |
| 5 | DELLNYSEDell Technologies Inc. | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.49% |
| 6 | MUNASDAQMicron Technology, Inc. | 2007-11-072007-12-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -3.35% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +1.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.