20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
13 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CVSNYSECVS Health Corporation | 2011-09-062011-10-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.19% |
| 2 | EQTNYSEEQT Corporation | 2016-09-292016-10-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.34% |
| 3 | ALLNYSEAllstate Corporation | 2011-09-062011-10-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.03% |
| 4 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2017-05-022017-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.45% |
| 5 | CAHNYSECardinal Health Inc. | 2014-05-282014-06-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.97% |
| 6 | ERIENASDAQErie Indemnity Company | 2009-05-292009-06-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.43% |
| 7 | SLBNYSESchlumberger Limited | 2011-09-062011-10-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +13.98% |
| 8 | GMNYSEGeneral Motors Company | 2021-06-022021-06-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.81% |
| 9 | TMUSNASDAQT-Mobile US, Inc. | 2011-09-062011-10-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +4.40% |
| 10 | VRTXNASDAQVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | 2011-10-212011-11-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -8.31% |
| 11 | MCKNYSEMcKesson Corporation | 2014-05-282014-06-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.73% |
| 12 | FSLRNASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. | 2014-12-172015-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.93% |
| 13 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2008-04-172008-05-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.44% |
Showing 1-13 of 13 matches
Commentary
Strong bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 13 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 69% of the time with a median move of +2.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.3%.