20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
26 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNYSEAT&T Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.20% |
| 2 | NTRSNASDAQNorthern Trust Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.49% |
| 3 | CVXNYSEChevron Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.94% |
| 4 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.45% |
| 5 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2010-01-212010-02-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.76% |
| 6 | IBMNYSEInternational Business Machines Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.49% |
| 7 | COPNYSEConocoPhillips | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.41% |
| 8 | HUBBNYSEHubbell Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.16% |
| 9 | GLNYSEGlobe Life Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.31% |
| 10 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.43% |
| 11 | GENYSEGeneral Electric Company | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.08% |
| 12 | AMENYSEAmetek Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.94% |
| 13 | CBRENYSECBRE Group Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.64% |
| 14 | ALLENYSEAllegion plc | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.21% |
| 15 | MTBNYSEM&T Bank Corporation | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.83% |
| 16 | HONNASDAQHoneywell International Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.35% |
| 17 | PNRNYSEPentair plc | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +15.40% |
| 18 | EOGNYSEEOG Resources, Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.04% |
| 19 | EMRNYSEEmerson Electric Co. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.16% |
| 20 | PRUNYSEPrudential Financial, Inc. | 2020-06-102020-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.20% |
Showing 1-20 of 26 matches
Commentary
Strong bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 26 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 92% of the time with a median move of +4.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.0%.