20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMRNYSEEmerson Electric Co. | 2021-10-112021-11-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | 0.00% |
| 2 | GISNYSEGeneral Mills, Inc. | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.54% |
| 3 | MARNASDAQMarriott International Inc. - Class A | 2013-10-072013-11-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.90% |
| 4 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2019-04-172019-05-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.82% |
| 5 | JNYSEJacobs Solutions Inc. | 2007-03-292007-04-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.25% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 80% of the time with a median move of +0.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.