20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UALNASDAQUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. | 2007-05-142007-06-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.20% |
| 2 | GOOGLNASDAQAlphabet Inc. | 2025-12-292026-01-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.54% |
| 3 | GOOGNASDAQAlphabet Inc. | 2025-12-292026-01-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.70% |
| 4 | FDSNYSEFactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2015-05-052015-06-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.81% |
| 5 | ETRNYSEEntergy Corporation | 2011-04-112011-05-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.03% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +1.0%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.