20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABTNYSEAbbott Laboratories | 2007-11-072007-12-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.09% |
| 2 | EMENYSEEMCOR Group, Inc. | 2007-03-162007-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.78% |
| 3 | TPRNYSETapestry Inc. | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.46% |
| 4 | HIINYSEHuntington Ingalls Industries Inc. | 2011-12-132012-01-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.29% |
| 5 | BIIBNASDAQBiogen Inc. | 2007-12-192008-01-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.49% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -3.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.