20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FFIVNASDAQF5 Inc. | 2014-05-162014-06-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.11% |
| 2 | CPAYNYSECorpay, Inc. | 2024-08-072024-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.67% |
| 3 | AIZNYSEAssurant Inc. | 2025-08-052025-09-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.62% |
| 4 | CORNYSECencora, Inc. | 2008-12-152009-01-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.49% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -1.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.