20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHMNYSEPulteGroup Inc. | 2011-05-162011-06-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.59% |
| 2 | AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc. | 2019-02-112019-03-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.27% |
| 3 | MASNYSEMasco Corporation | 2007-01-192007-02-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.05% |
| 4 | NWSANASDAQNews Corporation | 2017-03-162017-04-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.60% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +3.9%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -2.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.