20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2011-09-082011-10-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.83% |
| 2 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
| 3 | APDNYSEAir Products and Chemicals, Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +1.51% |
| 4 | CBNYSEChubb Limited | 2014-06-262014-07-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -4.48% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +2.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.