20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABBVNYSEAbbVie Inc. | 2015-12-172016-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.28% |
| 2 | EOGNYSEEOG Resources, Inc. | 2021-10-272021-11-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -6.99% |
| 3 | PSKYNASDAQParamount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock | 2017-10-102017-11-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.83% |
| 4 | SBUXNASDAQStarbucks Corporation | 2016-10-112016-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -0.50% |
| 5 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2012-12-042013-01-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.17% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 60% of the time with a median move of -0.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.