20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNANYSESnap-on Inc. | 2025-09-262025-10-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.32% |
| 2 | WDCNASDAQWestern Digital Corporation | 2018-09-262018-10-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -25.67% |
| 3 | KEYSNYSEKeysight Technologies, Inc. | 2017-05-042017-06-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.00% |
| 4 | MRSHNYSEMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | 2023-09-182023-10-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.71% |
| 5 | GPCNYSEGenuine Parts Company | 2015-05-152015-06-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.51% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -2.0%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -25.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.