20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2024-05-302024-06-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.33% |
| 2 | FDSNYSEFactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2020-11-102020-12-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.17% |
| 3 | FENYSEFirstEnergy Corp. | 2011-06-302011-07-28 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | -6.87% |
| 4 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2011-03-022011-03-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.44% |
| 5 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2007-01-262007-02-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.08% |
| 6 | NWSNASDAQNews Corporation Class B Common Stock | 2024-07-222024-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.64% |
| 7 | NWSANASDAQNews Corporation | 2024-07-222024-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.70% |
| 8 | CHRWNASDAQC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | 2014-05-162014-06-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.08% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.