20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LLYNYSEEli Lilly and Company | 2015-04-092015-05-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.04% |
| 2 | TDYNYSETeledyne Technologies Incorporated | 2021-01-122021-02-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +3.49% |
| 3 | EXPDNYSEExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. | 2017-09-292017-10-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.81% |
| 4 | FIXNYSEComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2009-08-172009-09-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.52% |
| 5 | ERIENASDAQErie Indemnity Company | 2007-05-252007-06-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +1.03% |
| 6 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2007-07-062007-08-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +3.86% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 83% of the time with a median move of +2.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.