20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNANYSESnap-on Inc. | 2018-04-052018-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.96% |
| 2 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2007-09-042007-10-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.48% |
| 3 | HIINYSEHuntington Ingalls Industries Inc. | 2017-10-252017-11-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.59% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +1.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +1.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.