20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
18 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CFNYSECF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 2018-09-202018-10-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -14.00% |
| 2 | LENNYSELennar Corporation | 2026-04-142026-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.75% |
| 3 | NOWNYSEServiceNow, Inc. | 2016-11-102016-12-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.85% |
| 4 | ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Co | 2023-04-042023-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.66% |
| 5 | HBANNASDAQHuntington Bancshares Incorporated | 2007-09-262007-10-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.92% |
| 6 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2022-02-082022-03-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.96% |
| 7 | VRSKNASDAQVerisk Analytics Inc. | 2017-04-122017-05-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.25% |
| 8 | COPNYSEConocoPhillips | 2020-02-062020-03-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -40.88% |
| 9 | PTCNASDAQPTC Inc. | 2017-06-292017-07-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.97% |
| 10 | NOWNYSEServiceNow, Inc. | 2014-06-172014-07-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.52% |
| 11 | DXCMNASDAQDexCom, Inc. | 2025-10-132025-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.56% |
| 12 | CATNYSECaterpillar Inc. | 2015-10-232015-11-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.71% |
| 13 | FDXNYSEFedEx Corporation | 2025-09-222025-10-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.41% |
| 14 | ORCLNYSEOracle Corporation | 2024-05-092024-06-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +13.24% |
| 15 | PWRNYSEQuanta Services Inc. | 2010-10-042010-10-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -9.21% |
| 16 | BRNYSEBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2009-08-282009-09-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.93% |
| 17 | LMTNYSELockheed Martin Corporation | 2007-05-022007-05-30 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.60% |
| 18 | IFFNYSEInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 2013-02-042013-03-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.41% |
Showing 1-18 of 18 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 18 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 61% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -40.9%.