20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2007-09-132007-10-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.23% |
| 2 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2025-06-042025-07-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.03% |
| 3 | FISNYSEFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 2021-06-282021-07-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.27% |
| 4 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -1.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.