20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2011-03-022011-03-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.21% |
| 2 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2024-09-192024-10-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.70% |
| 3 | SYYNYSESysco Corporation | 2025-03-252025-04-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.16% |
| 4 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2020-11-302020-12-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.42% |
| 5 | LHXNYSEL3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 2016-09-292016-10-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +1.95% |
| 6 | IPNYSEInternational Paper Company | 2011-11-092011-12-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.85% |
| 7 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2019-11-292019-12-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.59% |
| 8 | MANYSEMastercard Incorporated | 2016-09-292016-10-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.76% |
| 9 | PTCNASDAQPTC Inc. | 2008-12-012008-12-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +11.27% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +0.8%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.