20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WSMNYSEWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | 2014-01-302014-02-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.86% |
| 2 | MCONYSEMoody's Corporation | 2025-01-172025-02-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.19% |
| 3 | TTNYSETrane Technologies plc | 2024-04-042024-05-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.01% |
| 4 | IVZNYSEInvesco Ltd. | 2007-11-272007-12-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.28% |
| 5 | ROLNYSERollins, Inc. | 2015-05-072015-06-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.34% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +2.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.