20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XELNASDAQXcel Energy Inc. | 2012-03-282012-04-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.07% |
| 2 | EVRGNASDAQEvergy Inc. | 2012-03-282012-04-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.39% |
| 3 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2012-05-182012-06-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.33% |
| 4 | DNYSEDominion Energy, Inc. | 2020-08-172020-09-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.42% |
| 5 | CVXNYSEChevron Corporation | 2022-06-302022-07-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.50% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 60% of the time with a median move of -0.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.