20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DLTRNASDAQDollar Tree, Inc. | 2011-04-192011-05-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.80% |
| 2 | DGXNYSEQuest Diagnostics Inc. | 2008-06-272008-07-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.25% |
| 3 | EGNYSEEverest Group, Ltd. | 2019-05-132019-06-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.80% |
| 4 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2014-07-172014-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.91% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -0.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.