20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMATNASDAQApplied Materials, Inc. | 2025-10-102025-11-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.41% |
| 2 | GILDNASDAQGilead Sciences Inc. | 2026-01-152026-02-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.27% |
| 3 | NINYSENiSource Inc. | 2015-01-092015-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.44% |
| 4 | OXYNYSEOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 2011-12-282012-01-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.71% |
| 5 | STENYSESTERIS plc | 2011-06-222011-07-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | -2.59% |
| 6 | TGTNYSETarget Corporation | 2013-10-112013-11-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +2.85% |
| 7 | PPLNYSEPPL Corporation | 2015-01-092015-02-06 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.50% |
| 8 | PPLNYSEPPL Corporation | 2013-01-282013-02-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.31% |
| 9 | LINNASDAQLinde plc | 2013-12-132014-01-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.84% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -1.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.