20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADINASDAQAnalog Devices, Inc. | 2007-08-092007-09-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.99% |
| 2 | COFNYSECapital One Financial Corporation | 2015-05-152015-06-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.97% |
| 3 | MRSHNYSEMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | 2021-06-292021-07-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +2.84% |
| 4 | PFENYSEPfizer Inc. | 2019-12-192020-01-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.86% |
| 5 | UBERNYSEUber Technologies, Inc. | 2020-02-282020-03-26 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk1.0 | -15.79% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 60% of the time with a median move of -0.9%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -15.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.