20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NVRNYSENVR, Inc. | 2024-12-052025-01-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.35% |
| 2 | IQVNYSEIQVIA Holdings Inc. | 2016-12-082017-01-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.85% |
| 3 | BRONYSEBrown & Brown Inc. | 2020-04-092020-05-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.36% |
| 4 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2020-04-092020-05-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.30% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -0.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.