20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
12 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DALNYSEDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 2020-02-242020-03-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend2.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +38.41% |
| 2 | VRSKNASDAQVerisk Analytics Inc. | 2011-07-142011-08-10 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk1.0 | +4.55% |
| 3 | ORLYNASDAQO'Reilly Automotive Inc. | 2007-02-072007-03-07 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | -1.53% |
| 4 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2006-11-132006-12-11 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | +1.30% |
| 5 | FICONYSEFair Isaac Corporation | 2008-04-102008-05-07 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | +6.21% |
| 6 | KEYNYSEKeyCorp | 2007-07-172007-08-13 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | +1.84% |
| 7 | TDGNYSETransDigm Group Inc. | 2016-10-262016-11-22 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | -0.42% |
| 8 | METNYSEMetLife Inc. | 2016-07-182016-08-12 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | +1.74% |
| 9 | FITBNASDAQFifth Third Bancorp | 2025-09-232025-10-20 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk1.0 | +1.56% |
| 10 | MPWRNASDAQMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2009-07-142009-08-10 | 2.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk1.0 | +4.07% |
| 11 | CMENASDAQCME Group Inc. | 2015-11-132015-12-11 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | +0.43% |
| 12 | TGTNYSETarget Corporation | 2007-02-072007-03-07 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend1.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk1.0 | -2.15% |
Showing 1-12 of 12 matches
Commentary
Strong bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 12 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.1%.