20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSNNYSETyson Foods Inc. | 2020-06-222020-07-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.36% |
| 2 | DISNYSEThe Walt Disney Company | 2021-01-082021-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.59% |
| 3 | TERNASDAQTeradyne, Inc. | 2018-10-082018-11-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.44% |
| 4 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2012-05-022012-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.72% |
| 5 | IFFNYSEInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 2007-05-082007-06-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.54% |
| 6 | CBOECBOECboe Global Markets Inc. | 2012-08-152012-09-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.90% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +2.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.