20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BDXNYSEBecton, Dickinson and Company | 2019-10-082019-11-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -7.00% |
| 2 | ARESNYSEAres Management Corporation | 2021-06-292021-07-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +7.82% |
| 3 | LNYSELoews Corporation | 2006-12-142007-01-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.24% |
| 4 | CASYNASDAQCasey's General Stores Inc. | 2017-04-132017-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.35% |
| 5 | CHTRNASDAQCharter Communications Inc | 2015-09-102015-10-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.22% |
| 6 | USBNYSEU.S. Bancorp | 2009-02-172009-03-16 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk2.0 | +16.04% |
| 7 | JPMNYSEJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2009-02-172009-03-16 | 3.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | +24.99% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 71% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.