20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMENYSEEMCOR Group, Inc. | 2007-03-162007-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.78% |
| 2 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2011-03-242011-04-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.86% |
| 3 | ITWNYSEIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 2015-01-132015-02-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.43% |
| 4 | TPRNYSETapestry Inc. | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.46% |
| 5 | QCOMNASDAQQUALCOMM Incorporated | 2007-08-242007-09-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.50% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +2.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +1.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.