20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HIGNYSEThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 2021-02-162021-03-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +17.03% |
| 2 | TROWNASDAQT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 2009-02-192009-03-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -0.70% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +8.2%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -0.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.