20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAHNYSECardinal Health Inc. | 2010-10-062010-11-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.71% |
| 2 | UNPNYSEUnion Pacific Corporation | 2012-12-112013-01-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.36% |
| 3 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2019-12-182020-01-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.47% |
| 4 | ORCLNYSEOracle Corporation | 2010-05-212010-06-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.33% |
| 5 | DALNYSEDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 2008-09-242008-10-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | -16.39% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 60% and a median move of +0.4%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -16.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.