20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AOSNYSEA. O. Smith Corporation | 2025-08-192025-09-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.96% |
| 2 | SYKNYSEStryker Corporation | 2024-04-302024-05-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.79% |
| 3 | CHDNYSEChurch & Dwight Co., Inc. | 2017-06-282017-07-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.75% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -1.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -2.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.