20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALLNYSEAllstate Corporation | 2009-07-172009-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.29% |
| 2 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
| 3 | CMINYSECummins Inc. | 2006-11-072006-12-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.02% |
| 4 | AZONYSEAutoZone Inc. | 2021-07-262021-08-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.62% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -3.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.