20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BXNYSEBlackstone Inc. | 2019-08-082019-09-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.31% |
| 2 | DHINYSED.R. Horton, Inc. | 2019-05-242019-06-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -3.43% |
| 3 | WSTNYSEWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 2019-08-082019-09-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.62% |
| 4 | AEPNASDAQAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc. | 2013-04-112013-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.42% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -2.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.