20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-08.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
36 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc. | 2007-03-012007-03-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.22% |
| 2 | WYNNNASDAQWynn Resorts, Limited | 2007-03-012007-03-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.46% |
| 3 | GSNYSEThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2007-03-012007-03-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.98% |
| 4 | MPWRNASDAQMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2025-06-112025-07-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.63% |
| 5 | CRHNYSECRH plc | 2013-02-192013-03-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.33% |
| 6 | HRLNYSEHormel Foods Corporation | 2009-03-032009-03-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.81% |
| 7 | HPENYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 2024-03-132024-04-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.39% |
| 8 | STLDNASDAQSteel Dynamics Inc. | 2007-03-012007-03-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.19% |
| 9 | GENYSEGeneral Electric Company | 2011-03-142011-04-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.74% |
| 10 | GRMNNYSEGarmin Ltd. | 2024-08-012024-08-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.39% |
| 11 | RSGNYSERepublic Services Inc. | 2011-08-042011-08-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.38% |
| 12 | WRBNYSEW.R. Berkley Corporation | 2011-08-042011-08-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.37% |
| 13 | PTCNASDAQPTC Inc. | 2018-06-212018-07-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.86% |
| 14 | AMZNNASDAQAmazon.com, Inc. | 2018-06-212018-07-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.27% |
| 15 | ERIENASDAQErie Indemnity Company | 2011-08-042011-08-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.01% |
| 16 | CLNYSEColgate-Palmolive Company | 2016-09-072016-10-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.82% |
| 17 | ATONYSEAtmos Energy Corporation | 2011-08-042011-08-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.33% |
| 18 | BXNYSEBlackstone Inc. | 2009-10-262009-11-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.63% |
| 19 | CVXNYSEChevron Corporation | 2007-06-182007-07-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.49% |
| 20 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2014-03-262014-04-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.24% |
Showing 1-20 of 36 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 36 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 58% of the time with a median move of -0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -28.7%.