20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDNYSEDuPont de Nemours Inc. | 2007-06-142007-07-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.34% |
| 2 | NEENYSENextEra Energy, Inc. | 2021-05-252021-06-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.04% |
| 3 | AZONYSEAutoZone Inc. | 2011-10-172011-11-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.45% |
| 4 | VNYSEVisa Inc. Class A | 2024-11-222024-12-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | -0.76% |
| 5 | CTASNASDAQCintas Corporation | 2019-03-272019-04-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.12% |
| 6 | BBYNYSEBest Buy Co., Inc. | 2014-08-012014-08-28 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.45% |
| 7 | FSLRNASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. | 2021-03-042021-03-31 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.00% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 57% of the time with a median move of -0.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.