20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DELLNYSEDell Technologies Inc. | 2025-12-032025-12-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.86% |
| 2 | LITENASDAQLumentum Holdings Inc. | 2023-08-282023-09-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.67% |
| 3 | LMTNYSELockheed Martin Corporation | 2020-12-222021-01-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.46% |
| 4 | BSXNYSEBoston Scientific Corporation | 2021-07-262021-08-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.81% |
| 5 | EXPENASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. | 2024-12-032024-12-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.99% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -2.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.