20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-08.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
34 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAGNYSEConagra Brands Inc. | 2019-03-052019-04-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.42% |
| 2 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2007-06-252007-07-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.36% |
| 3 | MANYSEMastercard Incorporated | 2008-04-112008-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.26% |
| 4 | FFIVNASDAQF5 Inc. | 2016-10-112016-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.03% |
| 5 | LMTNYSELockheed Martin Corporation | 2023-09-212023-10-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.36% |
| 6 | HUBBNYSEHubbell Inc. | 2023-04-062023-05-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.20% |
| 7 | MTDNYSEMettler-Toledo International Inc. | 2006-10-182006-11-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.23% |
| 8 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2015-08-112015-09-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.11% |
| 9 | PTCNASDAQPTC Inc. | 2007-01-052007-02-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.41% |
| 10 | DXCMNASDAQDexCom, Inc. | 2021-10-132021-11-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.72% |
| 11 | DELLNYSEDell Technologies Inc. | 2023-08-162023-09-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.14% |
| 12 | CIENNYSECiena Corporation | 2013-05-202013-06-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.23% |
| 13 | HUMNYSEHumana Inc. | 2024-10-212024-11-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.14% |
| 14 | EMENYSEEMCOR Group, Inc. | 2016-10-112016-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +14.68% |
| 15 | MDLZNASDAQMondelez International, Inc. | 2013-04-032013-04-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.13% |
| 16 | KRNYSEKroger Co. | 2015-02-172015-03-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.14% |
| 17 | SATSNASDAQEchoStar Corporation Class A Common Stock | 2018-07-202018-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.66% |
| 18 | MDLZNASDAQMondelez International, Inc. | 2018-10-122018-11-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | 0.00% |
| 19 | PHNYSEParker-Hannifin Corporation | 2016-07-192016-08-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.04% |
| 20 | PFENYSEPfizer Inc. | 2011-01-132011-02-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.79% |
Showing 1-20 of 34 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes
Similar setups appeared 34 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 53% and a median move of +0.4%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -9.8%.