20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CASYNASDAQCasey's General Stores Inc. | 2025-10-302025-11-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -1.41% |
| 2 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2016-04-052016-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.02% |
| 3 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2019-05-072019-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.21% |
| 4 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2017-10-052017-11-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.43% |
| 5 | CSCONASDAQCisco Systems, Inc. | 2025-07-112025-08-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.86% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 60% of the time with a median move of -0.9%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.