20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPCNYSEGenuine Parts Company | 2017-06-062017-07-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -10.03% |
| 2 | MCKNYSEMcKesson Corporation | 2022-12-132023-01-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.55% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -5.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.